Pitch Engine
The Times Real Estate

.

Momentum vs underdog status: this time the advantage is with Joe Biden

  • Written by Lionel Page, Professor in Economics, University of Technology Sydney

Polls highly favour Joe Biden to win the US presidential election.

These polls are not just abstract information. By telling prospective voters who is the most likely to win, can they influence the result of the election by playing a role in the voters’ decision? The evidence says yes, and it most likely favours Biden.

In theory, you could...

Read more: Momentum vs underdog status: this time the advantage is with Joe Biden

More Articles ...

  1. 'Could do better': Top Australian economists award the budget a cautious pass
  2. Google's huge market share doesn't automatically make it a monopoly
  3. A fad, not a solution: 'city deals' are pushing universities into high-rise buildings
  4. Gaming the board: Crown Resorts shows you just can't bet on 'independent' directors
  5. Explainer: why the government can't simply cancel its pandemic debt by printing more money
  6. At the heart of the broken model for funding aged care is broken trust. Here's how to fix it
  7. Mathias Cormann wants to lead the OECD. The choice it makes will be pivotal
  8. Another building-site death adds to demands for industrial manslaughter laws
  9. The budget promises jobs, but does little for workers in the gig economy
  10. Beyond the police state to COVID-safe: life after lockdown will need a novel approach
  11. New modelling finds investing in childcare and aged care almost pays for itself
  12. No snapback: the budget sets us up for an unreasonably slow recovery. Here's how
  13. Virgin sacrifice: boardroom bloodletting signals a classic private-equity hijacking
  14. COVID won't kill populism, even though populist leaders have crisis badly
  15. Vital Signs: yes, we need to make things in Australia, but not like in the past
  16. In defence of JobMaker, the replacement for JobKeeper: not perfect, but much to like
  17. We need to restart immigration quickly to drive economic growth. Here's one way to do it safely
  18. Dissecting the Nobel: how Milgrom and Wilson changed the face of auctions
  19. Treating workers like meat: what we've learnt from COVID-19 outbreaks in abattoirs
  20. That advice to women to 'lean in', be more confident... it doesn't help, and data show it
  21. Making auctions work: the winning ideas behind this year's Nobel Prize in economics
  22. You can't trust the price-comparison market, as iSelect's $8.5 million fine shows
  23. None of the justifications for weakening bank lending standards quite makes sense
  24. A question for the treasurer: how do you treat mental health without measuring well-being?
  25. Social housing was one hell of a missed budget opportunity, but there's time
  26. It's not the size of the budget deficit that counts; it's how you use it
  27. High-viz, narrow vision: the budget overlooks the hardest hit in favour of the hardest hats
  28. This budget will only work if business and consumers play ball
  29. The budget's tax cuts have their critics, but this year they make fiscal sense
  30. Budget 2020: promising tax breaks, but relying on hope
  31. Budget 2020: Frydenberg tells Australians, ‘we have your back’
  32. Don't worry about the debt: we need more stimulus to avoid a prolonged recession
  33. The Brussels Finance Conference of 1920: a lesson in the perils of focusing on the past
  34. Big budget spending isn't new: it's a return to what worked before
  35. The bad bits of ParentsNext just came back
  36. Vital Signs: how to time a bombshell like Trump's tax returns
  37. The 5-prong plan for a budget that will set us up for the future
  38. Meet the Liveable Income Guarantee: a budget-ready proposal that would prevent unemployment benefits falling off a cliff
  39. Which Australian destinations lose, and which may win, without international tourism
  40. Each budget used to have a gender impact statement. We need it back, especially now
  41. Going cashless isn't straightforward. Ask Sweden, or Zimbabwe
  42. It's about to become easier to lend irresponsibly, to help the recovery
  43. We're facing an insolvency tsunami. With luck, these changes will avert the worst of it
  44. Top economists back boosts to JobSeeker and social housing over tax cuts in pre-budget poll
  45. Frydenberg is setting his budget ambition dangerously low
  46. Google and Facebook shouldn't subsidise journalism, but the government could
  47. Testamentary trusts are one of the last truly outrageous means of avoiding tax
  48. Keating is right. The Reserve Bank should do more. It needs to aim for more inflation
  49. New Zealand companies lag behind others in their reporting on climate change, and that's a risk to their reputation
  50. It's not only Westpac. What's behind the biggest fine in Australian corporate history